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August 2005 Archives
Tuesday, August 30, 2005
NEW TERMINOLOGY

Pallywood

Caliphascism

You keep on learning in the blogosphere. Endlessly.

Posted at 12:36 PM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Blogosphere | TrackBack (0)


CAUTION SETS IN

Earlier today it was reported that US Consumer Confidence is up:

Consumers reassured by the strengthening job market stayed optimistic in August despite the surging price of gasoline, giving a widely followed measure of consumer confidence an unexpected boost. The Conference Board said Tuesday its Consumer Confidence Index, compiled from a survey of U.S. households, rose to 105.6 this month up from a revised 103.6 in July. The August figure was better than the 101 analysts expected.

There are distinct signs however that the appetite of the US consumer to continue to spend is running out, according to the excellent Big Picture market blog. Growth in the US and a number of other mature Western economies has been sustained largely by consumers using their home equity as a cash dispenser. That model is only sustainable for so long and now that Greenspan's comments have formally heralded the end of the housing boom, it's time to prepare for some real caution in spending behaviour. And if you're not convinced about that, just take a look at the S&P Retail Index. It has peaked.

Posted at 11:12 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Markets | TrackBack (0)


SITE ISSUES?

It's been very difficult to access this site and a number of others (Glenn, OTB) for the past few hours, but according to the statistics some of you have been able to do so. Not sure if it's a Hosting Matters issue. Anyway, we're back on.

Posted at 11:08 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Peaktalk | TrackBack (0)


Monday, August 29, 2005
FLAT TAX ON THE MARCH

In Germany and Britain. It requires a lot of changes on the political scene, but it appears there's at least a little bit of momentum.

Posted at 01:46 PM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Markets | TrackBack (0)


NO ROME?

While everyone is linking to Christopher Hitchens’ well-argued defense of the war effort in Iraq, my interest was really piqued by an interview with Victor Davis Hanson who uses a telling historic parallel to defend today’s approach to terror and dictatorships. Here’s an excerpt:

People wonder how Rome could conquer all of northwest Europe with nothing more than four or five legions. The answer is the Romans had a very similar policy to our own: They looked at the most retrograde, bloodthirsty, nationalist leaders—the bin Ladens of the ancient world — and took them out, but with precision and with a lesson. They then offered Roman citizenship and technology to those who sided with them —everything from the benefits of habeas corpus to aqueducts.

The idea of Roman citizenship was not predicated on race or national origin, but inclusive, in the same manner the U.S. military does not represent a particular race or religion, but an idea, a notion of Western inclusiveness and egalitarianism, that can encompass everything from free markets and voting to equality under the law and free speech.

What America has done, then, is take out and discredit these bad guys and then offer Western opportunity and inspiration that can foster popular culture — an internship at Harvard, a web-log in Iraq, a call-in radio show. In other words, people can become “Westerners in spirit” without losing their own pride of religion and nationality.

Yes, the Roman empire did eventually succumb to external and internal pressures, but if the West plays its cards right then we should at least have another five hundred years or so. But that’s a wild, unsubstantiated guess. The point is, agile and dynamic open democracies should be able to ward of the threats that eventually became Rome’s downfall. That challenge is ours.

Posted at 10:03 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Iraq | TrackBack (0)


THE ADVENT OF SELF-CENSORSHIP

This article by Margaret Wente highlights why hate speech laws are effectively tools that curb free speech. And as the case of Jeff Rubin shows, there is no need for those that seek redress under such laws to even go to court. Fear of such proceedings and the publicity that goes with it is apparently running so deep that Rubin’s employer wasted no time to act on a frivolous complaint and ordered him to (a) take sensitivity training and (b) to change the offending paragraph in a research report that Rubin - a strategist at CIBC - compiles monthly.

So if that fear is reducing large corporations to humbling and absurd behavior at the expense of their employees, then you can only imagine the extent to which the media have censored themselves. And the impact of it on a free and open debate. That’s something that we should really be alarmed about.

If you’re wondering what al the fuss was about, here’s the controversial part that forced one of Canada’s major financial institutions to back down and humiliate one of it star employees:

" The first two oil shocks were transitory, as political events encouraged oil producers to seize full sovereignty over their resources and temporarily restrict supply. This time around there won't be any tap that some appeased mullah or sheik can suddenly turn back on."

Wonder what CIBC shareholders make of this. If I were one I would be deeply offended by the $5000 that the company forked out for the two-hour (!) sensitivity session for Mr. Rubin.

Posted at 12:00 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Basic Freedoms | TrackBack (0)


Sunday, August 28, 2005
AMSTERDAM DREAMING

One of the major irritants with mainstream media in North America has been the standardized and predictable reporting following the Van Gogh murder. The Dutch tolerance-meme has been debunked here earlier, but the notion of Holland as some sort of paradise survived last year's troubles and remains painfully persistent, a great example being Slate which last week ran a five-day diary by one Seth Stevenson under the title, Should I Move to Amsterdam? Now, the fact that the traditionally left in North America live with some uninformed rosy notion about Holland wasn’t really new to me - just hang around long enough in the Vancouver to LA corridor and you can compile a book about the Dutch paradise - but this writer reinforces the stereotypes to a point that it felt like I was reading a parody. Seth, however, is dead serious:

The larger point is this: They live much better here. They carve out cozy, delightful moments anywhere they can find them. They bring their families on candlelit, nighttime boat rides through the canals. They chat with their friends at outdoor cafes as the sun sets. They leave work by 6 every evening. And these are not special, once-in-a-blue-moon treats. This is how they live, all the time.
Absolutely, Seth, no question about it, this is the way Amsterdam’s citizens live, everyday, year-in, year-out. The idea that Dutch have started to turn their backs on the candlelit boat rides in order to find a better future for their offspring is something Seth happily ignores, in fact he’s able to explain recent problems away with some brief and sharp analysis:
It's all quite depressing to think about. I'd built up Amsterdam in my mind as a progressive-thinking paradise—a perfect escape pod when I decide I can't hack it in the United States any longer. But it turns out the legendary Dutch tolerance (for soft drugs, prostitution, homosexuality, euthanasia) does not extend to immigration. Perhaps Moroccans are not “gezellig” The bottom line is: This country has its problems, too.
But Seth is happy to gloss over the problems in his search for more experiences that will underpin his Euro-dream. Still, he knows somehow he’s on shaky ground and wastes no time to re-assert that he really is an American, albeit a critical one:
I realize I'm in grave danger of sounding like a Euro-snob. So, let me be clear: I don't think they're any smarter or cooler than us (though they're certainly taller and slimmer). And yes, of course, we're capable of living beautifully in the States. But the "gezellig" lifestyle is a national priority with the Dutchies. I'm not even sure what our shared priorities are in America. Getting rich? Appearing on television? It's fair to say that coziness is not high on the list.

Note to Seth: getting rich features pretty high on the list of Dutch wishes and when it comes to appearing on TV, the Dutch have set a standard that puts even the trashiest American entertainment to shame.

Yet after visiting the Anne Frank House it becomes clearer why Seth prefers his homeland: it’s probably a lot safer than the blood-drenched streets of Old Europe:

Frankly, I don't enjoy living in the shadow of history. I don't like to be sitting at a sidewalk cafe, enjoying my coffee, when I suddenly flash on the image of Nazi boots tromping through the intersection. Each time this happens, I feel heavy with meaning and guilt. I can only take it in small doses. Give me some newborn American soil, with its blank slate and empty memory. History may be a nice place to visit, but I'm not sure I want to live there.
Normally I would say, read the whole thing but these excerpts should save you the trouble, although you may want to flip through Seth's slideshow.

NOTE: For a more balanced view on the Dutch streets - looking for some beacons of hope among all the negative and often poorly researched reporting – consider my observations after a visit to the lowlands earlier his month.

Posted at 12:00 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Dutch Tolerance ~ | US-European Relations | TrackBack (0)


Friday, August 26, 2005
SO LONG, FLYPAPER

It's been a while since I questioned the flypaper theory, today Greg Djerejian comes up with no less than ten reasons that explain what's wrong with it. A must read.

Posted at 08:43 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Iraq | TrackBack (0)


A PEAKTALK THEME?

Some of you asked why all of a sudden there are less posts about Muslim fundamentalism. There are two answers, one is the news cycle – there simply is less to report at the moment – and secondly, the topic has never been the central focus of this blog. It turned out to be one, but when I started Peaktalk my idea was to take on a variety of international issues and where possible link them to one of my core interests, free markets.

It didn’t exactly work out that way as markets got far less attention than they should have, but I still believe that free and open economies remain the single most important ingredient for creating liberal – in the traditional sense of the word - and thriving democracies. And that’s why the message of deregulation, privatization and tax reduction needs to be reiterated incessantly. We may think that socialism is dead, but it isn’t. From Chavez to Schroeder to Lafontaine to Dean to Layton: it’s somehow still alive and potent and from that perspective the ideologies that underpin collectivism have been a far greater and persistent scourge than Muslim fundamentalism ever will be, hopefully. Yes, we need military force to stamp out the jihadists, but at the same time only prosperous, open and stable communities will be strong enough to defeat terror of whatever stripe. It is no coincidence that the key to stability in Israel is the market place as it was primarily Arafat’s corruption that wrecked the chances for peace in Gaza and the West Bank. And only a strong enough legal framework that allows a free flow of information and investment will eventually help get Iraq back on its feet again.

So the content on this site will not change fundamentally, it will follow the news cycle but where possible I will try and make the case for capitalism in its various guises as a force for good. Call it the underlying theme.

Posted at 08:38 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Peaktalk | TrackBack (0)


ROOTS OF ANTI-AMERICANISM (1)

A reader reminded me that RFK's bullying of the Dutch is of course a perfect example of talking in absolutes, that American trait so deeply disliked across the ocean:

When this sort of fact comes to light, I can see why Europeans, who are not privy to the huge debates which constitute American politics, and who have to rely on local press which may well be anti-American, might come to regard the US as an unthinking, self-interested hegemon.
I leave it to you to picture the faces of seasoned Dutch ministers when a 37-year old US cabinet secretary - who didn't even have foreign policy in his portfolio and whose appointment was based solely on fraternal lines to the president - read them the riot act.

Note that this post is numbered, we'll turn the origins of European anti-Americanism into an ongoing series and eventually compile them into one long explanatory post. Consider them a sub-group of item number three on the list of factors explaining Europe's Inertia.

Posted at 12:00 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | European Affairs | TrackBack (0)


RFK AND HILLARY

And while we're talking about RFK, here's another interesting analogy. Mickey Kaus predicts that the Iraq-conundrum that faces Hillary Clinton may well derail her campaign even before it has properly started:

Hillary's dilemma is similar to the one that must have been faced by Bobby Kennedy in 1968--how to break with LBJ and the surface D.C. consensus in favor of the war. But Hillary's dilemma is worse, because Iraq isn't Vietnam and the current Beltway consensus she's being asked to denounce is a lot righter than LBJ was. Even mainstream Bush-bashing libs, in my experience, readily recognize that just withdrawing from Iraq now would be a global strategic disaster in a way withdrawing from Vietnam wasn't.

When it comes to Iraq, Democratic contenders for 2008 will have to make the awkward choice between talking in absolutes to rally the base or come up with carefully worded scenarios that may please the center. Today, both appear to be fairly risky options so the aspiring candidates may be quiet for quite a while to come.

Posted at 12:00 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Presidential Politics | TrackBack (0)


Thursday, August 25, 2005
MISSION: IRAQ

It may have gone unnoticed, but there is one blogger who is actually preparing for a combat mission in Iraq. Phil Carter updates you on his preparation.

Posted at 11:06 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Iraq | TrackBack (0)


THE NEXT CONFLICT?

After East-Timor and Aceh, Jonathan Edelstein points to the next area in Indonesia where tensions may flare up: West Papua or Irian Jaya.

This is probably Indonesia's equivalent of Tibet. The western half of New Guinea has nothing in common ethnically with Indonesia and was only added to the Dutch East Indies during the 19th century. The Dutch retained control of the territory after Indonesia's independence in 1949 and it wasn't until 1962 when it gave up sovereignty. Fear of spreading communism forced Washington to pro-actively support Asian partners and whenever the interests of The Hague and Jakarta collided, the Dutch were forced to back down from their territorial claims after pressure from Washington. The Dutch even had to endure a personal lecture from Robert Kennedy who was dispatched by his brother to The Netherlands to settle the matter of New Guinea in 1962.

In the years since, Irian Jaya has been rapidly colonized by especially Javanese settlers and by various international developers (particularly mining companies) who together with local (read Indonesian) partners have discovered the resource rich island. From both an economical and ethnic perspective it's therefore extremely unlikely that Jakarta will ever relinquish its hold on the island.

NOTE: For more on this topic, here's an older Peaktalk post entitled Unifying the Island Empire.

Posted at 10:37 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Indonesia | TrackBack (0)


THAT BORDER, AGAIN

Interesting piece in the Economist on America's northern and southern borders. In the south as always, porous:

Some 124,000 illegal immigrants have been caught in the Yuma sector of the Arizona border alone since last October, a 46% increase on the same period a year before. Americans are at least right to see the border-control system as out of control.
And to the north, politcal sentiments appear to determine ross-border traffic:
But other issues on which Americans and Canadians tend to disagree—gay marriage, cannabis, Iraq—also play a role. Americans cite Canadian anti-Americanism as a reason why they do not head north more. Greg Hermus of the Canadian Tourism Research Institute, an industry body, has studied the issue from both sides and says Canadians have similar fears about American attitudes. “Both sides feel less welcome in the other country.”
Reasons for concern, both north and south.

Posted at 10:29 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | North American Affairs | TrackBack (0)


Tuesday, August 23, 2005
SEATTLE SOJOURN

Yes, blogging forges new friendships. The Dorsman family just returned from a very pleasant break in Seattle where we were guests at the Rosenberg residence for a few days. Matt not only is able to cook up great posts at his blog (I can attest to the on-site research at the local Target for this post), he also serves up excellent meals. And we got to see parts of Seattle that we missed when we visited the place as regular tourists, with trips to Alki Beach, Madrona, Twanoh State Park and driving all the way to Burien to stock up at one of our favorite food retailers, Trader Joe’s.

Of course, much of our time together was spent discussing culture and politics and as I learned, life in one of America's most liberal cities does have its fair share of bizarre incidents. The prize this week went to one Cindi Laws, a member of the Seattle Monorail Board who countered opposition to the board's plans with some anti-Semitic remarks, arguing that the opposition campaign was largely financed by the city's Jewish community. Seattle, in the year 2005.

Posted at 01:24 PM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Pieter & Family | TrackBack (0)


ABETTING TERROR?

Yes, we can do much better at being fuel efficient, but to imply that I am now willfully financing terror is somewhat spurious. Still, welcome back from the break Andrew.

Posted at 01:17 PM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Terror | TrackBack (0)


EUROPE ON CLINTON, BUSH

The debate on European attitudes versus the US and the war on terror continued in my inbox over the weekend with one observant reader from New Mexico pointing to the different treatment given to Clinton and Bush in Europe:

The European media and hence the European populace had made up their minds about Bush long before the 2000 election was even held. The European media grabbed hold of the typical American media’s anti-Republican hyperbole and ran with it. I was in the Netherlands in ‘92 when Clinton was first elected and the general consensus was that he was a hick, probably couldn’t find Europe on a map and was likely to be a foreign policy disaster. The major difference was that they gave him a chance. The American media liked him; let him slide on quite a bit and the European media left him well enough alone. Bush never got that chance.

I will concede that Bush “talks” more in absolutes than most modern politician. Europeans, in my experience, are not used to this and it makes them uncomfortable. European politicians (and a fair number of American politicians) talk mostly out the sides of their mouths. Europeans, in general, seem to prefer this because they feel assured that no matter what the politician is saying:

1. he doesn’t really mean it; and
2. it’s never going to happen anyway.

Clinton fit this mold rather snugly. My suspicion, however, is that his wife is more like Bush, albeit from the other end of the political spectrum. The realization that Bush says what he means, means what he says and will do his utmost to accomplish his goals is very disconcerting to the average European. I believe this is because they still attempt to pin the definition of politician on Bush (i.e. when he speaks of the evil perpetrated by the terrorists he’s exaggerating) and that they truthfully they (Europeans, in general) do not, even yet, comprehend the nature of the enemy. It’s simply too frightening, maybe if I close my eyes, hold my breath and count to 10 it will go away. I would like to believe that they are right, but logic dictates that they cannot be.

Well said. The failure of most politicians to talk in absolutes has contributed to many policy failures on both sides of the ocean. When there’s a war going on direct language is probably a vital ingredient in making clear that, to follow my reader’s argumentation, (1) we mean what we say, because (2) some bad things are happening right now.


Posted at 12:54 PM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | US-European Relations | TrackBack (0)


Thursday, August 18, 2005
SLOW SUMMER

Or that’s what it looks like. Most of the people I work with are on holiday, e-mail volumes are down and so is traffic on this site. With that in mind I will slow down too for a few days and enjoy my time with the family before things switch back into action in early September. That reminds me, call the Europeans hedonist, at least they send their kids back to school at a decent time in August and not well into September after more than two months of holidaying.

The summer quiet is also evidenced by the increasing number of guestbloggers that pop up everywhere, a phenomenon that I am not overly keen on. Blogs are good because of the individual style and voice that they present and someone who is guestwriting on a well-liked site to me just doesn’t seem like the right way to keep up traffic levels (which is what it is all about of course). There’s one notable exception and that is Walter Kirn who this week is guestblogging at Sullivan’s Daily Dish. Refreshing and provocative stuff – I don’t always agree with it – and his perspective from distant Montana is absolutely worth your while:

This stupid business of classifying one another according to state-of-residence is exactly what I'm complaining about when I say that political conversation nowadays has gotten awfully tiresome in certain aspects. This red-blue thing isn't real: it's a grid put down on the landscape by lazy pundits in order to foster a conflict that isn't there so the people who profit from conflict can work their way with us.
As I said, some new perspectives. Go check him out before his week at the Dish is over.


Posted at 09:07 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Blogosphere | TrackBack (0)


CRITICIZING THE PILLARS

Seldom, if ever, do I get views from critics or detractors. My post Europe's Inertia however generated one, and here’s an excerpt:

Under the heading “Europe’s Inertia” I discovered a number of “pillars” who in my opinion were not entirely correct. In the first place the unwillingness to wage war. I believe that in Europe a majority had very deep concern about waging an unjust war in Iraq. There is absolutely no inertia and lethargy, on all fronts people are working hard to fight the terror that is currently threatening us. What does play a role is disagreement with American policy and its execution. There is no war, but only the fight against certain groups of fundamentalists and suicide bombers, unfortunately fed by a 7th century interpretation of the Koran. The tension between Europe and America manifests itself on many different fronts, especially because of the muscular language and the endless repetition of the terms “democracy” and “war on terror”, representing a mentality that it’s all about us and the rest of the world is left to figure things out for itself. Bush’s continuing performance in a “high noon” setting doesn’t add anything constructive either.

What follows is a list of the points of contention between the US and Europe (Kyoto, International Court of Justice, Guantanamo Bay, support for Israel’s occupation of the West Bank etc.) which I won’t replicate as all of these can easily be grouped as sub-reasons under pillar number three. As a reminder, these were the pillars:

1. Ingrained political correctness.
2. An over-reliance on the government to sort things out.
3. Strong reluctance to equate Europe’s troubles with a US-based solution.
4. Different demographics.
5. Strong denial or Resignation.
6. Proportional Representation (submitted by a reader)

So there continues to be deep frustration about the way America conducts the War on Terror, something that was evident over and over during my recent European trip. And I did not hang out with the some lefties on the fringe, no, this is the Dutch upper middle class, well-educated, voting on the right but only willing to fight the spread of Muslim terror as long as the name Bush or America is not printed on it. Vilifying Bush has become an article of faith and only after carefully maneuvering the conversation in a certain way are some of those critics willing to admit that maybe the idea to invade Iraq wasn’t that bad, but that the execution of it left something to be desired.

Still, it doesn’t mean there’s a defined European version of what the overall war means, if you think about it and look closely at pillar number three and the reader’s comments it is clear that the disagreement is no longer centered around how to approach the problem, but what the problem really is. Europe’s struggle with jihadist terror can simply not be seen in an American context or fought with a Washington-devised solution and America’s fight against violent fundamentalism can equally never be addressed with a set of European tools. That divergence reaches far deeper than the often cited difference between “waging a war” or “conducting a law enforcement operation”.

READER MAIL
: Some clarity from California:

Americas behavior is all about , gasp , its own self interest! This is shocking! That a country would actually act in its own interest is truly beyond the pale. Americans look at Europeans as selfish self absorbed people who are perfectly willing to leave their own self defense to the Americans. We act because to do nothing would cause us to lose our , dare I say it, democracy and freedom. The fact that we defend western values almost alone speaks worst of Europe then ourselves. Europeans, like disgruntled teenagers, prattle on with unrealistic idealism and then demand equality in decision making while contributing nothing to the family income. With Iran Europe has shown the world the wisdom of diplomacy without threat to back it up. At Srebrenica idealism stared pure evil in the face and blinked. Yes America will always act in its own interest and yes other nations will join us or not according to their own interests.

Forgot all about Bosnia, which of course was textbook inertia.

Posted at 12:00 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Terror ~ | US-European Relations | TrackBack (0)


Wednesday, August 17, 2005
GAZA

Septuagenarians, who in the autumn of their lives reach the highest office in the land, after along and determined journeys, usually waste no time to implement the vision that has moved them throughout their lives. Reagan’s mission was to realize his vision of a free and strong America, Deng Xiaoping survived purge after purge to finally brand a more pragmatic and market driven approach of communism in China. Deng parted ways with hard-line doctrinaires, and Reagan abandoned the Democrats that had shaped much of his life and career. Both men succeeded, but both had to decisively break ranks with their formative masters.

And so it is with Sharon, a man whose life has been built around one simple purpose: to ensure the survival of the state of Israel using whatever means necessary. The Gaza disengagement represents the bold move of which it is impossible to argue its ultimate success now, history will be the ultimate judge. But Sharon’s gamble is more than a simple roll of the dice that seeks to improve the immediate situation on the ground. It attempts to re-align the long term dynamics of the relationship with the Palestinians and more importantly, it may create a non-ideological and non-religious Israeli mission that pragmatically unites the majority of the nation behind one simple strategy: peace and survival. And that's why Arik's mission needs to succeed.

NOTE: The best piece on the disengagement is from Oliver Kamm (hat tip: Judith Weiss, who also provides good coverage of Gaza related news.

Posted at 08:29 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Israel | TrackBack (0)


Tuesday, August 16, 2005
IN-N-OUT

While we can pretty much rest assured that your average burglar or dope dealer is safely locked away, in some countries the more dangerous elements appear to have a free pass. The man responsible for Canada's 'Little Columbine' walked away from a halfway house the other day, and in Holland the more severe cases spend their days in TBS-clinics (literally meaning 'at the disposal of the government) which have an equally dangerous open-door policy. And beware the critics, the head of one of the clinics lashed out at some politicians who dared to openly question the lax policies that enabled some of the countries most dangerous elements to escape:

In response to the concerns expressed by MPs, Jos Poelmann, director of the TBS clinic in Pompekliniek in Nijmegen, warned of the danger of over-reacting.

"There are 90 cases of escapes by TBS patients annually. By agreement, this information was made public. But if MPs react like this every time and call on the minister to face up to his responsibilities, we will no longer be able to do our work," Poelmann said.

The reason why Poelmann reacted so vigorously can be explained. Society at large considers those convicted with a TBS-sentence as criminals, whereas the professionals that run these outfits view their clients primarily as patients, sure to be cured at some point in time. Problem: if they walk away prematurely they have a habit of doing what they were locked up for in the first place: killing people.

NOTE: One infamous TBS-convict was discussed earlier on these pages, here.

UPDATE: Here's a sad story from British Columbia where an escapee from a halfway house butchered an innocent retiree who happened to be living in the proximity of the facilty that housed "low-risk" inmates.

Posted at 06:53 PM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Crime | TrackBack (0)


HIRSI ALI ON THE IRAQI CONSTITUTION

Ayaan Hirsi Ali points to the limitations of Iraq’s new constitution in a column for WSJ’s OpinionJournal:

Hamam Hamoudi, the head of Iraq's constitution committee, refuses to discuss the article that worries the Muslim women. He also refused to put in the draft constitution that men and women have equal rights, creating a bizarre situation whereby the women had more rights under Saddam Hussein's regime than in post-Saddam Iraq. Mr. Hamoudi insists that women will have full economic and political rights, but the overwhelming evidence shows that when Shariah--which gives a husband complete control over his wife--is in place, women have little chance to exercise any political rights. Does Mr. Hamoudi realize that it took the removal of Saddam and the establishment of a multiparty democracy for men to vote, while if his draft constitution is ratified, women will need the permission of their husbands to step out of the house in order to mark their ballot?

And, she draws a parallel with the implications for women under Canada’s arbitration legislation. Read the whole thing.

Posted at 07:08 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Canadian Politics ~ | Iraq ~ | Social Affairs | TrackBack (0)


CINDY SHEEHAN

Too much has already been written about this affair, which to me is nothing but a fairly distasteful sideshow that no one should be asked to sit through. There is one, and only one, piece of comment that you need to read and that comes from Christopher Hitchens. Read it, forget Cindy Sheehan and move on to other stuff. Please.

Posted at 12:02 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Iraq | TrackBack (0)


APOLOGY TIME ...

Roger links to the news that Japan apologized for its wartime colonization and invasions during World War II, an issue that continues to be highly sensitive:

The war's legacy lingers in Asia, where many of Japan's neighbors accuse Tokyo of failing to atone fully for invading them and colonizing the Korean peninsula and Taiwan. The issue has stirred opposition to Japan's bid for a permanent seat on the U.N. Security Council.

Well, there’s one country that took full advantage of Japan’s invasion and that is Indonesia. It declared itself independent on the defeat of its colonial masters by Japan in 1942, an act that was formalized on August 17, 1945 in the chaos that ensued following Japan’s defeat. The Dutch never really recognized this and waged a four-year war (the so-called “police actions”) against Indonesian insurgents to reclaim sovereignty, an effort that ultimately failed resulting in a full Dutch withdrawal in 1949.

Ever since, Indonesia’s date of independence has been a bone of deep contention. Tomorrow however will mark the first time since the 1940s that the Dutch government will attend the August 17th independence celebrations in Indonesia and thus retroactively accept that date as the formal end of its colonial rule in what was then called the Dutch East Indies. Some groups have jumped on this and are now arguing for a formal apology for the “police actions”. Since an apology is tantamount to accepting liability for causing damage don’t expect a lot of movement on this one, but do count on a re-evaluation of the years that the Dutch attempted to forcefully re-assert sovereignty over its lost island empire.

Posted at 12:00 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Indonesia | TrackBack (0)


Monday, August 15, 2005
WALKEN IN 2008

Christopher Walken is running for president. Whether this is a credible effort or not, the Catalina Island drowning of Natalie Wood with a drunk Walken on the same boat is sure to add some Chappaquiddick momentum to the Walken ticket. Otherwise, he's a pretty good actor.

Posted at 11:59 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Presidential Politics | TrackBack (0)


AT A CROSSROADS

One of the things I haven’t done since my trip back to Europe is to reflect on the mood over there, bearing in mind that my approach is in no way based on sound scientific sampling of opinions. Still, having spoken to many different Dutch people over a period of two weeks some clear patterns did emerge.

First, political correctness has gone out of the window completely, at least on the conversational level. Where people in the past would hasten to make qualifying remarks after a bold statement about immigrants, these days comments about knife-wielding Moroccans are followed by a very precise analysis about their whereabouts and origins with no attempts to soften or apologize for any of the statements just made. That attitude has also made its way into traditional media.

Secondly, the ability to accurately identify the immigration problem and its attached demographic uncertainties do not automatically translate into a deep concern or an interest in pro-actively finding creative solutions. A sense of resignation is omnipresent at least that’s the impression I got. “It’s bad and things are not going to get better”, “the next subway attack will be here” and “you’re much better of living abroad” were statements that kept coming back throughout my stay.

Thirdly, this sense of gloom is not just about immigration or terror. Despite some recent good news there is little optimism when it comes to the economy at large. The housing boom has run its course, consumer prices are high (many still blaming the Euro introduction), there's a sharp increase in consumer debt and bankruptcies, and the job market has slowed down considerably. Again, a sense of resignation is prompting many to believe that things will not get any better soon, if ever. It’s interesting to note that an entirely new immigrant labor force has emerged: Poles. Commuting from their native grounds they now provide a variety of services at very low rates – not to mention very hard work as opposed to the spoilt native workforce – which in turn has contributed to an increased local unemployment rate.

And finally crime. It’s not rampant, but anecdotal evidence points to more home invasions and the increased use of firearms in broad daylight. The cover of weekly HP/De Tijd this week dealt with the perception that the police very often prefers not to confront violent criminals, who of course can freely travel in and out of a nation with porous borders.

All of this confirmed what I sensed was the case and about which I’ve written extensively on this site.

Yet, believe it or not, I came away with a generally positive feeling. Holland as a nation is a far different place from what it was when I left it some fifteen years ago. Privatization, deregulation and an almost North American way of commercializing day-to-day life have really changed the place. Taxes are at or near the lowest levels they have ever been since the 1970s and the government last week announced further cuts in order to help kick-start an economic recovery. On the immigration side things are looking up too. Vrij Nederland, a traditionally left-wing periodical has moved to the center on anything from economics to immigration, and this week it reported on upward mobile Muslim women under the heading Glamour & Belief:

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While still a relatively small group, there are bright spots and many Muslims are doing anything they can to move forward and become part of Dutch life.

So there are some bright spots but generally the Dutch are confused about where to go next. Too much coincidental social and economic change has left them somewhat clueless and the nation's leaders as well as the media have so far been shooting largely from the hip, betraying a similar level of cluelessness. Politicians now have a duty to engage the electorate in a constructive debate about how to move forward by looking at the core issues, from defining the nation’s role in the European project to a constructive approach to integration. It may take years and in the short-run things may not get better at all, note that interest in emigration remains very strong. Still, despite all the negativity and gloom and doom, the Dutch have a very good shot at improving their destiny.

Posted at 11:45 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Dutch Politics | TrackBack (0)


CHANGES AT WINDS

It looks like another another Peaktalk friend is considering his blogging future. Joe Katzman's is moving to America (so Winds of Change can no longer be considered Canadian content?) and will stop contributing to the excellent Winds on a regular basis. Good luck, Joe.

Posted at 07:55 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Blogosphere | TrackBack (0)


GOOD NEWS FROM INDONESIA

Today the Indonesian government signed a peace deal with rebels in Aceh:

The deal, signed in Helsinki by Indonesian Justice Minister Hamid Awaluddin and Malik Mahmud of the Free Aceh Movement (GAM), provides for an amnesty and disarming of the rebels from Sept. 15 and restricts government troop movements in Aceh.

Aceh, located on Sumatra island, has always been a restive area - even the Dutch fought many battles here. The recent conlict erupted about two years ago but apparently last year's tsunami prompted peace talks. Given its history this may be a temporary arrangement, but it nevertheless is good news.

Posted at 07:41 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Indonesia | TrackBack (0)


Saturday, August 13, 2005
SCHROEDER WARNS BUSH

The German election campaign was kicked off by chancellor Gerhard Schroeder earlier today. Building on the winning strategy of the 2002 contest he again played to anti-American sentiments:

Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder opened his campaign Saturday for next month's national election seeking to rejuvenate his beleaguered center-left party by taking a swipe at U.S. military aggressiveness and the verbal gaffes of a conservative opposition leader.

"But take the military options off of the table; we have seen that they're not suitable," Schroeder said, apparently alluding to U.S. President George W. Bush's statement on Israeli TV on Friday that "all options are on the table" in the confrontation with Iran.

With the strong showing of a new party on the left, Schroeder needs to shore up his base and that will unfortunately go at the expense of transatlantic relations, again. Ultimately, the lack of a constructive debate about the future of Europe's largest economy will be at the expense of the German voter.

NOTE: Davids Medienkritik confirms my suspicions that the German campaign will be fought over anything but the real issues.

Posted at 10:07 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | US-European Relations | TrackBack (0)


PLURALITY OR UNITY? OR BOTH?

The debate on multi-culturalism rages on, this week Sundries raises the issue again in an interesting post, asking the question: plurality, or unity? The answer may be here, although its day-to-day implementation is probably quite hard. Consider for instance the latest in the discussion about allowing sharia in the province of Ontario:

In a recent report, Marion Boyd, a former provincial cabinet minister who works as a mediator, recommended that religious law maintain a role in family arbitration as long as safeguards are built in to protect women and children.

Ontario's Attorney-General, Michael Bryant, plans to respond in the fall. Opponents of Sharia, many of whom are Muslim women who came to Canada to escape repressive regimes, denounce the law. They say it treats women like second-class citizens.

Alia Hogben, president of the Canadian Council of Muslim Women, has called Sharia family arbitration "an abuse of multiculturalism."

The problem here is that western societies have long extended the privilege of religious arbitration to other communities. One rabbi not long ago even defended this practice and made the compelling point that the adjudication of private disputes, as long as they followed local law, would be an “appropriate method of community and ethnic involvement".

Plurality, subject to unity.

Posted at 07:22 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Immigration ~ | Social Affairs | TrackBack (0)


TIME TO LEAVE?

One of my regular readers has raised the issue of the future of the allied war graves in Europe and what will happen to them if relations between Europe and the US further deteriorate:

Old Europe--I do not know about New Europe--does not appear to have the strength, or even the desire, to defend itself against Muslim colonization. Bernard Lewis is, therefore, likely to be correct when he says that Europe will become a Muslim society during the current century. It follows logically, then, that the time has come for the US and the American people to remove our war dead from our graveyards in Europe, the Netherlands included. It is only a matter of time before the European Left, well practiced in the art of sucking up to tyranny, or the new Muslim masters of Europe run bulldozers through these burial sites, vandalizing the graves of American soldiers, bulldozing their remains into the sea, burning them and desecrating them in numberless other ways. It is better for the American government and the American people to recognize Old Europe is lost to ultimate Muslim control, that American cemeteries in Normandy and across once Christian Europe are prime targets for European/Muslim insult and to bring these soldiers home while there is still time to do so. In time, all Europeans will come to hate these soldiers. How much better it is to act before that time is reached.

As a child my parents took me to many of these cemetaries and I grew up experiencing the deep symbolic value of the strong bond between North America and Europe. It was also a stark reminder of the importance of fighting tyranny.

It's an issue for Americans and Canadians to decide what to do with thse graves in the future but given what they represent a removal would only mean one thing: we've given up on Europe. Despite all my admonitions about Europe and its future, I think it is way too early to give up.

Posted at 07:05 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | US-European Relations | TrackBack (0)


Thursday, August 11, 2005
IN TRANSIT

It´s been slow over here but there´s a good reason: I have spent the past two weeks in Holland on holiday, primarily visiting family. It was a good break and it was actually nice to be back home. Of course many, many discussions on politics and the future of Europe, terrorism and trans-atlantic relations. Enough to re-energize the batteries and get Peaktalk back to its daily routine when I return tomorrow (after a grueling 10 hour flight).

Posted at 12:49 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Peaktalk | TrackBack (0)


READERS ON EUROPE´S INERTIA

One reader adds the following to the list:

Proportional Representation. The necessity to bring in smaller parties, with little actual public support, inflates their influence and inhibits effective political leadership. This, of course, does not exist in the UK (much to the dismay of the Liberal Democrats) but most European countries have this Albatross (my opinion). It does lend itself to preventing a party from moving a country “too far” in any political direction and can maintain stability. The problem arises when the stability is not very stable.

It´s an interesting one. PR is more democratic - everyone get´s a say, more compromises - but it does indeed prevent sound decision making in difficult times.

Posted at 12:40 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | European Affairs ~ | Terror | TrackBack (0)


Tuesday, August 9, 2005
SO LONG, ARTHUR

In what will probably one of the last instalments, Arthur Chrenkoff has another Good News from Afghanistan up. I will miss the invaluable contributions from Arthur as well as his generous linkage to this site now that he moves on to another career. Best of luck and stay in touch.

Posted at 02:44 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Afghanistan ~ | Blogosphere | TrackBack (0)


EUROPE´S INERTIA - UPDATED

Ever since taking on the reluctance of Europeans to line up behind George Bush after 9/11, a lot of assumptions have been made about why the majority of Europeans seems to be reluctant to face the inescapability of this war and is generally unwilling to fight it. The latter assertion in itself is a major assumption, gleaned from the way politics are conducted in some European capitals as well as the results of sometimes dubious polling data. And critics can also argue that given the last presidential election it is only a slim majority in America that is aware of the threat and has been willing to buy into the Bush strategy.

Still, I will venture out to say that there’s very little appetite in Europe’s mature democracies to take on the continent’s jihadist problem and that those who propose drastic measures still represent a minority. The public at large remains indifferent, is likely to vote appeasers into office – think Spain - or follows the cues of state-run media who are all too keen to widen the gap between Europe and the US. But why? Why is there still this strong and pervasive sentiment to appease, ignore and neglect the problem? Why is there some much lethargy when it comes to revive a spirited defense of democracy?

So to define this issue a bit better and to create a definition for this issue going forward, I have listed the key factors. Here we go:

Ingrained political correctness. Decades of relentless campaigning to instil a mixture of multicultural and moral relativism have worked. Attitudes and targeted hate speech laws have made it very hard for politicians, media and citizens alike to abandon pre-conceived ways to conduct a debate about pressing social and cultural matters. Those who try to break this mould are labelled as ´provocative´or ´hate-mongers´.

An over-reliance on the government to sort things out. This is a logical reflex, Americans ask their government to wage war too, but this tendency is compounded by the general European inability to pick governments that can prioritize. What does this mean? Human rights trump a crackdown on terrorist groups and the importance of unemployment benefits outweighs bombers on the tube, to name a few examples.

Strong reluctance to equate Europe’s troubles with a US-based solution. The tendency to completely separate Bush and his war on terror is omnipresent even among Europe’s right-leaning press and thinkers. It’s cultural (Europe is different after all) as well as political (anti-Americanism plays well to some constituencies) and it is unlikely to change even if a Democrat would occupy the White House. The idea of ´One Europe´ as an independent world power and counterweight to American power plays into this as well, the EU-elites like it and so do many media.

Different demographics. The difference with the US of course is anchored in the fact that having a rapidly growing homegrown Muslim population changes the dynamics of the debate in a material way. As mentioned before, it’s easier to take on jihadism and argue for democracy in Iraq from a desk in Washington DC than from a place where jihadists are well represented and organized, if not right around the corner.

Strong denial or Resignation. This is strongly linked to the hedonist complex: “it will go away, let’s ignore it for now, let’s enjoy the good times”. As the generation that fought World War II is passing away Europe is left with a population that has never ever waged war, peacekeeping missions being the closest thing identified with war. Utter incomprehension can manifest itself in this denial or even some resignation: “there’s nothing that we can do about it anyway”.

So let’s call these the five pillars of Europe’s inertia. Again, these attitudes may certainly be prevalent in America and Canada (which as with anything is somewhere in between the US and Europe) but they primarily define European attitudes when it comes to waging the war against fundamentalist terror.

If you know of others, let me know and I will add the best ones to the list.

UPDATE: Arjan has a lenghty response and highlights a particular Dutch instinct:

Ignoring issues until it becomes impossible to do so is literally a way of life.

Which begs the question: what kind of wake up call do the Dutch need? Ignoring the Nazi threat in the 1930s resulted in a crushing defeat after a four-day battle and a devastating five-year occupation by a totalitarian force. Ignoring issues, a dicey strategy.

Posted at 02:22 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | European Affairs ~ | Terror | TrackBack (0)


Monday, August 8, 2005
BLAIR´S ANTI-TERROR PACKAGE

In addition to arguing how we should conduct it, one of the more pressing questions about the war on terror is how much room should we give law enforcement agencies in conducting that war. There is already quite a bit of criticism on Tony Blair’s recent sweeping anti-terror package, and it is not just coming from Muslim groups. Consider the following:

Expanded grounds for deporting foreigners, including fostering hatred, advocating violence to further a person's beliefs or justifying such violence.

Creating a new crime of condoning or glorifying terrorism.

Refusing asylum to anyone with terrorism links.

Expanding the government's powers to strip citizenship from naturalized citizens if they participate in extremism.

Consider expanding police powers to hold terrorist suspects for three months without charge. The current time limit is 14 days.


The measures of this package fall roughly into three broad categories. The first group contains the provisions that plug some existing holes and are easily justifiable, like refusing asylum to certain rogue elements. More controversial however is the second group, for instance the provision that would allow the UK to deport terror suspects to nations that are known to torture or randomly execute prisoners. Accepting that practice was until recently unthinkable – although not unheard of - but Tony Blair is willing to go as far as to amend certain human rights provisions in order to allow and legitimize these deportations. These changes are supportable and they fall right into bracket defined by De Winter who suggested that we amend laws whose intent creates a form of leniency from which radical elements actually benefit. The slippery slope starts when we start to imprison people for longer periods of time without charge, as this can become quite a repressive tool with an ability to lock up almost anyone whose activity can somehow be deemed to be “terrorist”.

Changing the way we deal with terror and radical activity is a must, but we should tread carefully. It’s generally hard for governments to give up near unrestricted privileges.

Posted at 08:05 AM by Pieter Dorsman | Permalink | Terror |